Yesterday the fortune-telling meteorologists at the National Weather Service said we were likely to have 4-8 inches of snow accumulate last night and into the afternoon today. In adulthood, I've always contended that they just guess when it comes to stuff like this, and so I try and make fun of their predictions whenever possible. I think they shattered my snow-day-dreams one too many times when I was a child.

Anywho, I started thinking about this most recent prognostication. As you may have noticed, they recognize that they're going to be off by at least 4 inches. Let's tack that 4 inches of assumed error onto the high and low ends of the 4-8 inches. Hmm... now it seems that they've predicted somewhere between 0 and 12 inches of accumulation. That's weird, because I make that same prediction every day of winter.

How did my forecast stack up? Let's check what's happened outside. Survey says... there's approximately a quarter inch of snow in my yard. Zero to 12 inches prevails again! Hey everybody, I'm a weatherman!

Not everyone should go to meteorological college.